How likely is that?
Curriculum area(s):
Maths
Curriculum area(s):
Citizenship
Mathematical area(s):
Probability
Mathematical area(s):
Investigation
Mathematical area(s):
Problem-solving
Age range:
11 to 16 Typical content (depending on age):
- is a given sequence of heads and tails likely or unlikely? how can we tell?
- which of two scenarios is more likely? how do we know?
- is it surprising that there are families in Britain in which the children all have the same birthday (not twins, triplets, etc)?
- are football league results pretty much the same as you might get if you use a simple spinner, or does skill matter?
- how can we avoid being taken in by scams and cons?

