This is the final video clip (4 mins 33 secs) in the pack "Eating bacon sandwiches is bad for you!" Evaluating Risk.

See video
Expert: 

David Spiegelhalter is the Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge.  He contributes to radio and TV programmes about uncertainty, risk, probability and statistics.

Research interests: public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment.  

Email address: D.Spiegelhalter[at]statslab.cam.ac.uk